MikeDropSports 2021 NFL Mock Draft

Jan 13, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) in the College Football Playoff national championship game against the LSU Tigers at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Mike Schneid presents his 2021 NFL Mock Draft for Thursday’s first round.

Over the last two years, here is how Mike has done on his mock drafts

2020

  • 7 correct (team + pick)
  • 17 right team/right position
  • 24/32 first rounders

2019

  • 5 completely correct (right team and pick #)
  • 7 correct team (7 correct team ties with Mel Kiper, is one more than Bleacher Report’s Matt Miller (one less than Todd McShay and two less than Daniel Jeremiah from NFL Network))
  • 13 right position/right team
  • 24/32 first rounders
1JaguarsTrevor LawrenceQB, Clemson 
2JetsZach WilsonQB, BYU
349ersMac JonesQB, Alabama 
4FalconsKyle PittsTE, Florida
5BengalsJa’Marr ChaseWR, LSU 
6Dolphins Penei SewellOT, Oregon 
7Patriots**Justin FieldsQB, Ohio State
8PanthersRashawn SlaterOT, Northwestern 
9Broncos Trey LanceQB, North Dakota St
10CowboysPatrick Surtain IICB, Alabama 
11GiantsAzeez OjulariEdge, Georgia
12EaglesJaycee HornCB, South Carolina 
13ChargersAlijah Vera-TuckerOL, USC
14VikingsMicah ParsonsLB, Penn State
15Lions**Jaylen WaddleWR, Alabama 
16CardinalsDeVonta SmithWR, Alabama 
17RaidersZaven CollinsLB, Tulsa
18Dolphins Jaelen PhilipsEdge, Miami 
19Football TeamChristian DarrisawOL, Virginia Tech
20BearsRashod BatemanWR, Minnesota
21ColtsTevan JenkinsOL, Oklahoma State
22TitansCaleb FarleyCB, Virginia Tech
23JetsKwity PayeEdge, Michigan
24SteelersNajee HarrisRB, Alabama 
25JaguarsJayson OwehEdge, Penn State
26BrownsJamin DavisLB, Kentucky
27RavensKadarius ToneyWR, Florida
28SaintsGreg Newsome IICB, Northwestern
29PackersAsante Samuel Jr CB, Florida St
30BillsTyson CampbellCB, Georgia
31RavensChristian BarmoreDT, Alabama 
32BucsDavis MillsQB, Stanford

Notes and takeaways

  • Obviously there will be more than one trade on Thursday, but I have only one mocked – Patriots and Lions swapping picks, so New England to get their QB.
  • I think the Patriots and Broncos ultimately end up with the other 2 QBs (after Jaguars, Jets, 49ers). I’d be surprised if Lions or Panthers were in on them.
  • Justin Fields is my QB2. I would take him if I was Jets or 49ers, but that seems to be a shared thought among many so it’s not worth crying about.
  • I would be shocked if Greg Newsome was on the board at 28. I can see the Saints, or someone else, trading up to get him. I can also see him going ahead of Caleb Farley as CB3 (I had that initially), but the Titans need a corner and have a history of risk-taking in the draft so they seem like the right team to end his fall.
  • If I was the Bengals, I would take Sewell without hesitation. But I am not the Bengals and they are not a franchise that often uses common sense.
  • My best players not included in round 1 – WRs Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, Terrace Marshall Jr, OL Alex Leatherhead, Edge Joseph Ossai and Carlos Basham Jr, S Trevon Moehrig
  • I would have loved to include Moehrig, but I don’t think the league values safeties as much as they should and a run of cornerbacks at the end of the round, limited Moehrig’s spots.
  • Bucs are impossible to mock. They are running it back with all 22 starters and have key depth at many spots. QB does make sense, assuming Brady retires before he is 50. Taking Mills in round one, allows the Bucs to have him under contract for potentially 5+ years, as opposed to 4 years drafting him Friday.

MikeDropSports Draft Content

Historical view of the NFL first round and where each team is picking.

Why drafting a WR in round one is risky

All 60 QBs drafted in the first round since 2000

2011 NFL Draft – 10 years later

Best QB in each draft class

Mike is an alum of the University of Cincinnati and the ultimate sports nerd.

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